Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 47.539896 54.488494 61.709916 69.743781 78.400888 87.419723 97.496550
2024-10-20 36.271669 45.907346 56.504884 68.893819 82.853101 97.978454 115.490708
2024-10-27 28.853962 39.613911 51.992031 67.010800 84.481388 103.927287 126.976578
2024-11-03 25.749722 37.724670 51.990499 69.785740 90.965582 114.986172 143.915625
2024-11-10 22.849680 35.634433 51.373629 71.506021 95.955911 124.136133 158.535441
2024-11-17 19.283105 32.249330 48.794968 70.526371 97.469638 129.030077 168.070125
2024-11-24 16.291900 29.260641 46.410543 69.514341 98.717048 133.433173 176.891499
2024-12-01 14.191716 27.249737 45.089937 69.668116 101.254767 139.276600 187.347688
2024-12-08 12.405846 25.478267 43.919659 69.873634 103.748002 144.992120 197.606749
2024-12-15 11.004484 24.117570 43.183874 70.545959 106.756229 151.291184 208.550041
2024-12-22 9.331315 22.120360 41.388790 69.663045 107.663600 154.921538 216.200492
2024-12-29 8.440953 21.298536 41.211876 70.925790 111.319582 161.960844 228.030733
2025-01-05 7.640390 20.556231 41.121870 72.316376 115.191630 169.358617 240.438806
2025-01-12 6.434023 18.922305 39.564850 71.555604 116.150960 173.043404 248.245813
2025-01-19 5.152183 16.925342 37.278200 69.612153 115.410961 174.476266 253.179252
2025-01-26 4.921989 16.995518 38.281185 72.455564 121.185113 184.312597 268.705258
2025-02-02 4.519567 16.645961 38.563272 74.216161 125.472400 192.237496 281.849979
2025-02-09 3.714564 15.274189 37.044811 73.213467 125.889778 195.094865 288.560052
2025-02-16 3.015023 13.986300 35.561016 72.177451 126.196578 197.764034 295.003719
2025-02-23 2.561325 13.198413 34.885839 72.334879 128.150229 202.586794 304.201023
2025-03-02 2.169150 12.476920 34.271315 72.545273 130.153607 207.465215 313.474104
2025-03-09 1.873550 11.952537 33.976889 73.233512 132.827097 213.236015 323.911527
2025-03-16 1.468787 10.964193 32.725828 72.329688 133.161245 215.847636 330.245568